Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.341536 0.372638 0.405732 0.443640 0.485952 0.531830 0.585473
2025-12-28 0.294457 0.338896 0.389369 0.451270 0.525587 0.612498 0.722649
2026-01-04 0.266167 0.317474 0.378376 0.456669 0.555620 0.677824 0.842211
2026-01-11 0.244592 0.300069 0.368265 0.459330 0.579368 0.734505 0.954029
2026-01-18 0.227211 0.285418 0.359121 0.460791 0.599794 0.786775 1.063634
2026-01-25 0.213911 0.274390 0.353013 0.464690 0.622528 0.842823 1.183150
2026-02-01 0.197998 0.258423 0.338719 0.455612 0.625555 0.870387 1.262884
2026-02-08 0.188004 0.249539 0.333073 0.457654 0.643913 0.920909 1.381966
2026-02-15 0.177504 0.239116 0.324351 0.454234 0.653371 0.958190 1.483404
2026-02-22 0.169722 0.231921 0.319554 0.455927 0.670254 1.007862 1.610137
2026-03-01 0.160727 0.222377 0.310635 0.450542 0.675301 1.038539 1.707236
2026-03-08 0.152359 0.213228 0.301664 0.444284 0.678160 1.065399 1.800008
2026-03-15 0.142369 0.201261 0.287942 0.429875 0.666928 1.068056 1.850013
2026-03-22 0.138544 0.198334 0.287786 0.437097 0.692352 1.136499 2.033418
2026-03-29 0.134540 0.194872 0.286522 0.442292 0.714534 1.201039 2.217632
2026-04-05 0.130245 0.190703 0.283849 0.444851 0.732125 1.258613 2.395309
2026-04-12 0.126017 0.186400 0.280676 0.446256 0.747602 1.313466 2.574692
2026-04-19 0.122567 0.183139 0.278973 0.450005 0.767546 1.378735 2.786300
2026-04-26 0.116879 0.176003 0.270509 0.441275 0.763292 1.395240 2.888883
2026-05-03 0.113613 0.172647 0.268144 0.443239 0.779550 1.454982 3.102039
2026-05-10 0.109584 0.167845 0.263083 0.439950 0.785219 1.493021 3.268036
2026-05-17 0.106679 0.164772 0.260797 0.441578 0.800694 1.553412 3.499742
2026-05-24 0.102771 0.159847 0.255068 0.436398 0.801922 1.582615 3.654812